Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras: Darja Vidmanova vs Dalma Galfi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c98a3dacd4b2c5368b5d898b4708f8ce8729db606ca2a2f9d65e9ba3018a8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vidmanovaof Vidmanova, Galfi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21aa…d590backed Galfi | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vidmanova | 76c | 2,323$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Galfi | 22c | 1,789$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…30dbbacked Galfi | 53c | 1,460$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Galfi | 46c | 1,292$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vidmanova | 59c | 1,279$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vidmanova | 51c | 843.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Galfi | 14c | 711.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vidmanova | 56c | 640$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Vidmanova | 53c | 556.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galfi | 34c | 486.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…8762backed Vidmanova | 78c | 461.7$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Galfi | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Vidmanova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Galfi | 25c | 323.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galfi | 42c | 316.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Galfi | 29c | 300.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Vidmanova | 46c | 250.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Galfi | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Galfi | 49c | 228.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Galfi | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Galfi | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Galfi | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Galfi | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74f…c6d6backed Galfi | 46c | 97.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Galfi | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Vidmanova | 61c | 82.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Vidmanova | 61c | 79.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Galfi | 51c | 78.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Galfi | 40c | 66.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Vidmanova | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vidmanova | 56c | 63.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galfi | 33c | 62.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Galfi | 55c | 56.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Galfi | 65c | 54.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Vidmanova | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Galfi | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Galfi | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Vidmanova | 34c | 33.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…ed57backed Galfi | 65c | 32.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Galfi | 40c | 32.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Galfi | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Galfi | 64c | 30.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Vidmanova | 60c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Galfi | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…ae3fbacked Galfi | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Vidmanova | 59c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Galfi | 72c | 15.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras: Darja Vidmanova vs Dalma Galfithis page
- Vidmanova vs. Galfi: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Vidmanova vs. Galfi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.