CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BMZ vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb006f0832772ee339ab843503d6d5e35676c6cf3eaf1ecbb5a69cf2394784f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FengDa Gamingof BMZ, FengDa Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FengDa Gaming | 34c | 562.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FengDa Gaming | 39c | 325.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed BMZ | 66c | 300.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed BMZ | 61c | 267.64$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BMZ | 70c | 257.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FengDa Gaming | 50c | 254.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed FengDa Gaming | 28c | 233$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed BMZ | 65c | 198.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FengDa Gaming | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed BMZ | 35c | 111.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BMZ | 62c | 110.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BMZ | 45c | 95.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed BMZ | 66c | 75.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked BMZ | 60c | 52.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FengDa Gaming | 53c | 48.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed FengDa Gaming | 38c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked BMZ | 66c | 38.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked FengDa Gaming | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…bc53backed BMZ | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed FengDa Gaming | 59c | 29.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BMZ | 55c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed FengDa Gaming | 76c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BMZ vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BMZ vs FengDa Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFengDa Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: BMZ vs FengDa Gaming - Map 2 WinnerFengDa Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.