TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Nice (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Saint-Etienneof Nice, Saint-Etienne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb1b…69f2backed Saint-Etienne78c470$365 inWon+$104.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Nice24c265$64 inLost-$64.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nice22c240$53 inLost-$52.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Nice22c165.29$36 inLost-$36.3622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Saint-Etienne76c98.85$75 inWon+$23.6487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Saint-Etienne77c98.22$76 inWon+$22.598957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nice22c97.37$22 inLost-$21.6218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Nice22c90.91$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Nice23c72.04$17 inLost-$16.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70a…29c8backed Saint-Etienne78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314e…af4ebacked Saint-Etienne65c64.1$42 inWon+$22.436100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Saint-Etienne76c60.1$46 inWon+$14.3127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint-Etienne76c48.13$37 inWon+$11.51,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Saint-Etienne78c30$23 inWon+$6.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Saint-Etienne78c23.83$19 inWon+$5.245763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Saint-Etienne78c23.83$19 inWon+$5.2412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Saint-Etienne77c19$15 inWon+$4.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Saint-Etienne77c15.48$12 inWon+$3.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.