Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d210b9988c422b560c104394d378c23d6ae6170737ff1871a4e0a19de2ec395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof New Haven Chargers, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 60c | 997.68$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 289.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Haven Chargers | 42c | 249.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 31c | 239.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 67c | 223.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New Haven Chargers | 44c | 221.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New Haven Chargers | 37c | 132.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed New Haven Chargers | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 33c | 61.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Haven Chargers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Haven Chargers | 39c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Haven Chargers | 46c | 38.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.