Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2b5f6cf960996e07236bec5b967d845a08aa4031eaee6c787686e357c05485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 3,100$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 2,637$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 2,448$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 1,372$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.34 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,322$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 1,199$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.16 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,149$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,105$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 1,063$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.49 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 55c | 624.84$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes | 30c | 306.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…cb06backed Yes | 56c | 261.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 193.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 41c | 160.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 134$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 35c | 105.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 70c | 101.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 63c | 95.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 43c | 74.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 59c | 34.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 45c | 27.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…15bebacked Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Çorum FK leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.