Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCW Seahawks vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d56a50e09575411d8520e89c532bd4db8b919e92cbfaad472ad412810478e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof UNCW Seahawks, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 39c | 1,631$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCW Seahawks | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UNCW Seahawks | 61c | 470$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed UNCW Seahawks | 61c | 396.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNCW Seahawks | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed UNCW Seahawks | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-3.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.