Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Eliz Maloney vs Margaux Komano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d7d7339eb15a7a4816fcd05165af159388e0c26fd1b0863031e7e14c96c234e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Margaux Komanoof Eliz Maloney, Margaux Komano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eliz Maloney | 80c | 3,446$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.93 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Margaux Komano | 20c | 1,539$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.9 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Margaux Komano | 20c | 770.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.33 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Margaux Komano | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Margaux Komano | 20c | 317$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Margaux Komano | 21c | 167$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Margaux Komano | 21c | 165$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Margaux Komano | 20c | 154$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eliz Maloney | 79c | 144.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Margaux Komano | 23c | 129.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Margaux Komano | 22c | 126.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Margaux Komano | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eliz Maloney | 79c | 120.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Margaux Komano | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eliz Maloney | 77c | 98.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Margaux Komano | 22c | 89.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Margaux Komano | 20c | 76.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Eliz Maloney | 80c | 66.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Eliz Maloney | 57c | 52.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Margaux Komano | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Eliz Maloney | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.