Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Drexel Dragons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de5ddb1617d47bd0b0bd37f11c1600130f0ee1806a4e51b17d69c68bcecc394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Drexel Dragons, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Drexel Dragons | 52c | 788.46$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…2589backed Drexel Dragons | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 154.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons | 50c | 134.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 47c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Drexel Dragons | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Drexel Dragons | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Drexel Dragons | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Drexel Dragons | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-4.5)this page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Drexel DragonsDrexel Dragons won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.