TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Drexel Dragons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drexel Dragonsof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Drexel Dragons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers1c3,930$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.584,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers1c1,992$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.922,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers16c829.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.691,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Drexel Dragons65c715$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.871,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24529444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Drexel Dragons77c478.97$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Drexel Dragons64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers30c330.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers21c240$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Drexel Dragons64c234$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.241,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers36c234$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers5c214.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.953993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers35c156.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.435,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e67…1302backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d1…30ddbacked Drexel Dragons68c139.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Drexel Dragons72c139.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.362356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers42c124.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers28c105.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers23c104.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4832343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons66c95.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers22c73.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0925438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons64c51.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers35c37.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers28c36.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3213219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c35.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.362556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Drexel Dragons63c22.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.445152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Drexel Dragons75c22.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Drexel Dragons65c19.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.