CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e392abf6dbb6b0ba39ee21032ba4d54a848fb63ea9f2734f85b9ea4e888db60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 3,135$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.48 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 1,685$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 1,097$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 1,075$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 650$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 478.31$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 391$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed VP.Prodigy | 6c | 334.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 225.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 164.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 123.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 116.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 114.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ECSTATIC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 75.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 50.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 25.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)ECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.