Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6574c0e11f93ed8c6e0bdf5f28807030f947f428f9f796fb50c56e12f34ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 2,096$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.56 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 24c | 799.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 779.94$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 626$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 625.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.19 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 494.48$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 392.37$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 149.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 32c | 120.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 109$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 30c | 53.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 67c | 50.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 75c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 33c | 43.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 30c | 35.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 73c | 30.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 70c | 30.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.