Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc03ed5c935d9a4e7f7808ff7fa7087bd207cc53b5f50654e504d2c7a7abb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 3,164$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.53 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 57c | 2,802$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 2,400$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,841$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.96 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 1,410$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.25 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 57c | 1,401$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 1,314$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.14 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 1,155$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 976.62$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 435.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 328$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 322$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 322$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 149.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 141$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 56c | 139.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 57c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 74.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 58c | 56.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 56c | 47.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Under | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 56c | 30.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 56c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 56c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 57c | 23.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 59c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 56c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.