Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e82b7c310a7827e93ce48dac349c77a3756955fef6367148106427ae558701d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 12c | 3,844$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 11c | 2,216$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 2,166$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 1,534$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 1,154$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,040$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 860$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 70c | 857.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.41 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 74c | 804$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 792.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 30c | 564$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 12c | 477.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 11c | 387.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 73c | 274.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 31c | 144.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 74c | 138.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 15c | 115.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 66.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 64.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.