Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec23a6a449154333d4a824a546442a83c412621d25026dfe54a8ec1c2c473bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Lindorfitos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lindorfitos | 7c | 7,808$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.22 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lindorfitos | 4c | 5,889$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lindorfitos | 4c | 1,282$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Lindorfitos | 8c | 1,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Lindorfitos | 3c | 765.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lindorfitos | 3c | 765.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lindorfitos | 4c | 690.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lindorfitos | 4c | 670.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lindorfitos | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lindorfitos | 5c | 599.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lindorfitos | 6c | 567.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Lindorfitos | 4c | 564.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lindorfitos | 4c | 552.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lindorfitos | 8c | 461.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lindorfitos | 8c | 407$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lindorfitos | 4c | 319.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Lindorfitos | 6c | 284.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…3ff6backed Lindorfitos | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lindorfitos | 5c | 240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…0b88backed Lindorfitos | 8c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Lindorfitos | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Lindorfitos (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.