Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fordham Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec6da190c97d3a0727448b0114e1a2a198c61bcb3a585b6ba689378a8a80bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 60,876$31,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,025.98 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 27,540$13,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,770 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 49c | 11,992$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.96 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,174$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 8,665$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.34 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 50c | 7,999$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.51 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 4,161$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.72 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 2,277$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,183$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 931.09$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 826.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 529.39$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 44c | 506$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.36 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 413.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 344.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 313$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 173.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 45c | 121.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 101$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 43c | 96.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 87.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Under | 44c | 81.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Over | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 26.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Under | 50c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 49c | 22.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fordham Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 147.5this page
- Fordham Rams vs. George Washington RevolutionariesFordham Rams won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-11.5)Fordham Rams won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-12.5)Fordham Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.