Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships: Griekspoor vs. Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee702e035d0aacc1472c7e80d4452ef72c8d15f2d0efdfe3d56578c4d9c2152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Griekspoor | 63c | 11,048$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Moutet | 35c | 8,106$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.19 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Griekspoor | 66c | 4,160$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Griekspoor | 62c | 4,013$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.41 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Moutet | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Moutet | 39c | 2,362$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Moutet | 25c | 2,228$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.78 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Moutet | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Moutet | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Griekspoor | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Moutet | 39c | 609.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Griekspoor | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Moutet | 21c | 538.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Griekspoor | 63c | 508.87$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Griekspoor | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Moutet | 34c | 433.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Griekspoor | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Griekspoor | 64c | 335.34$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…4524backed Moutet | 41c | 320.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Griekspoor | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Moutet | 30c | 187$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Griekspoor | 59c | 186$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moutet | 40c | 134.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Griekspoor | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Griekspoor | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Griekspoor | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Moutet | 39c | 77.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Moutet | 41c | 76.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Griekspoor | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Griekspoor | 63c | 51.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Moutet | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Griekspoor | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Moutet | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Moutet | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Moutet | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Griekspoor | 64c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Griekspoor | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Griekspoor | 64c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…b1c6backed Griekspoor | 62c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.