Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f099e6df4cd4bc55d4369155f3a4b74e901d204f3dbdee36c10c4bf824d6dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof Villanova Wildcats, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 5,309$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 4,792$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 1,985$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 1,281$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.37 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 1,110$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 337$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 245.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 236$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Villanova Wildcats | 56c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-3.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-5.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden EaglesVillanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 144.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.