Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami Hurricanes vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f58569f469bc4400b097f537a02d907579d61dc07fdc400d699bc5bcd1ab894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Miami Hurricanes, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 1,806$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Syracuse Orange | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Hurricanes | 70c | 651.88$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 601.58$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Syracuse Orange | 26c | 582.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 434.66$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange | 25c | 428.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 38c | 290$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 278.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 78c | 259.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Hurricanes | 72c | 252.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Syracuse Orange | 34c | 236.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 71c | 218$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Hurricanes | 62c | 216.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 43c | 197.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Syracuse Orange | 33c | 157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Syracuse Orange | 18c | 140.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Miami Hurricanes | 74c | 134.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 134.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 123.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Syracuse Orange | 34c | 112.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Miami Hurricanes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Syracuse Orange | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami Hurricanes | 71c | 73.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Hurricanes | 78c | 72.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Miami Hurricanes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Syracuse Orange | 26c | 57.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Syracuse Orange | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Syracuse Orange | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Syracuse Orange | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…de15backed Miami Hurricanes | 67c | 37.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Syracuse Orange | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Syracuse Orange | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Orange | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Hurricanes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Syracuse Orangethis page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.