Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f82656e35f186e914351574dca0498f43b1108dbdfc04e0b9f8c012a2255444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 12,875$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982.4 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 5,956$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 5,097$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.09 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 2,154$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.03 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 2,022$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.62 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,022$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 1,096$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.91 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 66c | 922$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 554$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.97 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 56c | 226.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 69.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 63c | 33.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Legia Warszawa vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?No won
- Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.