Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f87cca8bc51d912a313c8766c90ea8c8c8cfb6642e8d2809ae91038cafbfc4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,440 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 2,602$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.04 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,167$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 23c | 886.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 701.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 541.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…b945backed Yes | 21c | 481.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 443.46$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 20c | 249.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 65c | 153.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 20c | 137.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 20c | 132.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 72.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 42.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 77c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.