Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f922e4db849110c2247a67033d692425c1f21abbc608ec9bb25e55fcbbd7256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Enrico Dalla Valle, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 11c | 6,346$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arthur Gea | 76c | 2,103$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.73 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 2c | 1,985$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 21c | 1,170$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 24c | 1,049$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 18c | 556.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 547.86$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 486.86$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 455.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…b2ddbacked Arthur Gea | 80c | 401.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arthur Gea | 80c | 352.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 11c | 336.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 20c | 261.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 22c | 196.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b449backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 195.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 13c | 125.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 29c | 116.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 114.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 24c | 110.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arthur Gea | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arthur Gea | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Arthur Gea | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 23c | 63.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 63.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Arthur Gea | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Enrico Dalla Valle | 34c | 34.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Enrico Dalla Valle | 35c | 29.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Arthur Gea | 70c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Arthur Geathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Valle vs GeaGea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.