Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9047fae8907c9c618f080be9d02184d3fce4a29a165c0cd81210c1039b84a26c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 3,677$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.22 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 61c | 2,652$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.81 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 2,092$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 35c | 2,055$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.9 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,613$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 533.09$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 12c | 523.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 60c | 441.16$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 368.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 342.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 305$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 247.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 189.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 186.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 15c | 178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 73c | 157.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 39c | 119.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 87.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 85.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 71c | 81.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 70.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 59.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 19c | 55.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 23c | 50.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…8d75backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked No | 61c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will NK Bravo vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?No won
- Will NK Bravo win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.