Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Bravo vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a272c83f9a37b004860529969306e923164ed78fce6d2839089c84d1ddd8ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 7,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.95 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 4,463$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.22 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,319$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.82 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 14c | 904.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 784.1$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 713.68$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 404.06$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 299.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 224.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 14c | 134.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 72c | 131.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 76c | 130.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 130.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…9136backed Yes | 27c | 106.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 105.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 99.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 98.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 97.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 80c | 94.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 82.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 67.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 26c | 66.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 73c | 54.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 47.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 70c | 44.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…4d0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 60c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 32.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 24.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 24.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 21.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Bravo vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will NK Bravo win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.