Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9065c2c2e45ca7a01b344adf541bbbf6d6bc8ba261205232e3452164761d1773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 46c | 8,076$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.02 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 3,715$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.53 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 3,369$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,979$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 7c | 1,037$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 850.88$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 678.61$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 578.27$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 45c | 536.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 54c | 485.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 450.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 410$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 50c | 229.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 229.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 7c | 209.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 53c | 131.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 8c | 126.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 98.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Yes | 57c | 64.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 58c | 63.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 60.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…165fbacked Yes | 55c | 59.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 46c | 54.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…1397backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked No | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Yes | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 25.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 64c | 15.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.