Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9066a29e82f3369b6b654ec3ccda531d35c0963a6b25b02a9ec127fe5c7dc566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donna Vekicof Donna Vekic, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mia Ristic | 4c | 3,823$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mia Ristic | 10c | 2,309$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mia Ristic | 16c | 1,332$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Donna Vekic | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.87 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mia Ristic | 24c | 1,302$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mia Ristic | 25c | 542$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Donna Vekic | 75c | 506.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Mia Ristic | 5c | 426.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Donna Vekic | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Mia Ristic | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Mia Ristic | 11c | 199.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Mia Ristic | 25c | 157.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Donna Vekic | 75c | 132.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mia Ristic | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mia Ristic | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Mia Ristic | 19c | 86.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 70.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Donna Vekic | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Donna Vekic | 74c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Donna Vekic | 78c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Donna Vekic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Donna Vekic | 77c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Donna Vekic | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.