Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90853a61780cfd10e409d97df3b91c5d5684062ff435fe93ac384d08fb04ba8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 791.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed No | 72c | 381.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 57c | 364.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 221.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Yes | 57c | 213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 195.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 176.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 168.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 83.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 46c | 38.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 35.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a2fcbacked Yes | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.