Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92332d4ed4fd7b6da3dd6e57f65f8bfba988251d9fe8f4bd0065a6783cebbea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 37c | 1,673$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.02 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 46c | 1,354$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,157$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 46c | 970.15$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 807.41$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 339.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 232.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Under | 29c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 147.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 35c | 109.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 37c | 78.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Under | 66c | 76.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 69.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 53c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 56c | 24.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 57c | 19.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…75cebacked Under | 57c | 17.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.