Champions League · resolved market
Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c514072a79a0d7c29a1e530a2dbe24749d9d1a45b0dcb87d9334761bbc08a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 61c | 6,583$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 39c | 6,161$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.65 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 56c | 6,153$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.16 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 44c | 4,959$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.96 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 47c | 1,031$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.88 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…38bfbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6f3bbacked Yes | 47c | 995$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…7aadbacked Yes | 47c | 995$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…d648backed No | 53c | 995$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…56efbacked No | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…9fd2backed No | 53c | 940$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 53c | 935$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.8 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…cd1cbacked No | 53c | 745$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…3c62backed No | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…74cabacked No | 53c | 635$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…ae23backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdad…7a6fbacked Yes | 47c | 580$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…3073backed Yes | 47c | 580$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 31c | 491.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…dd12backed No | 53c | 365$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea2…823cbacked Yes | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…5730backed No | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…0779backed Yes | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…b979backed Yes | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…e6efbacked No | 53c | 255$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55a…87d9backed Yes | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…9a65backed Yes | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…4928backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…4e1abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…cf5ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 47c | 84.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…9d1abacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…238abacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…0cebbacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…fe4ebacked Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…bd15backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…2ee7backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…1007backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…8c08backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…1d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…daecbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…89dbbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.