CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs ASTRAL (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91169f2a6ef54c748cb5730fb3066cfe41e824df87242d5e5d2df8f913a5c146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof AaB esport, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ASTRAL | 36c | 1,129$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.81 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…efd0backed ASTRAL | 37c | 780$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…cd58backed ASTRAL | 37c | 745$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…c374backed ASTRAL | 37c | 720$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…b288backed ASTRAL | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…3154backed ASTRAL | 37c | 590$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…9a3bbacked AaB esport | 63c | 486$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed AaB esport | 63c | 449$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed AaB esport | 64c | 420.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9eaebacked AaB esport | 63c | 380$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…87dfbacked AaB esport | 63c | 340$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…148abacked AaB esport | 63c | 331$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed AaB esport | 64c | 309.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed AaB esport | 63c | 296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…efaabacked AaB esport | 63c | 296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…9bf2backed AaB esport | 63c | 294$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…95a9backed AaB esport | 63c | 294$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed AaB esport | 64c | 279.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78b7…9581backed AaB esport | 63c | 269$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AaB esport | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…fc2ebacked AaB esport | 63c | 47.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AaB esport | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed AaB esport | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.