Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919a7445a39c8f212256f7d54e9e477373308a9bdea26a5da97782b27526653a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 4,323$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…b9c5backed Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 4c | 1,150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 1,125$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.79 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 14c | 1,010$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 914.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 791.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 776.75$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 43c | 388.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 359.12$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 37c | 297.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 25c | 206.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 174.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 161.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 134.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 132.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 76c | 126.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 59c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 67.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 58.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 55.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 29c | 55.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 55c | 48.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 75c | 45.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Over | 37c | 41.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 54c | 37.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…d3bfbacked Over | 39c | 33.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.