CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b64efb462bc1266e84d0803b44cdafbce3fe1b860db8743f8651f8349bcc76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof ShindeN, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 1,382$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.34 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 1,007$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ShindeN | 65c | 897.95$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.16 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 886.8$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.38 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 739$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed ShindeN | 62c | 695.77$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.38 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed ShindeN | 65c | 618.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked ShindeN | 62c | 522.11$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 510.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 66c | 441.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed ShindeN | 61c | 416.2$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 68c | 401.86$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 264.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed ShindeN | 63c | 243.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ShindeN | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ShindeN | 65c | 153.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 137.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ShindeN | 67c | 131.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ShindeN | 66c | 131.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked ShindeN | 64c | 123.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ShindeN | 64c | 107.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 106.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 102.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed ShindeN | 64c | 98.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed ShindeN | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 95.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ShindeN | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 79.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked ShindeN | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed ShindeN | 71c | 73.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 44.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ShindeN | 66c | 39.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed ShindeN | 70c | 39.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ShindeN | 67c | 36.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed ShindeN | 66c | 36.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked ShindeN | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed ShindeN | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 64c | 23.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed ShindeN | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked ShindeN | 66c | 18.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…0d7cbacked ShindeN | 67c | 17.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.