Champions League · resolved market
Al Ain vs. Juventus: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9292405c10fe5f93b40f96f41801bf66bea2ddf5829c21fa3a74cf6c5dc1f0dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 55c | 2,063$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.16 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 50c | 766.97$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed Yes | 30c | 677.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 242$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 33c | 242$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed No | 67c | 242$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 50c | 99.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…58a0backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 28c | 88.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.