Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e12ce0118bc6bb4edb76626f601a75920f6a207a3ce7599c8bd53bfd6d37ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 57c | 14,723$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,341.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,440$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 43c | 4,139$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 3,589$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 44c | 2,559$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.09 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 29c | 1,074$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.97 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 1,041$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.9 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 57c | 1,015$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.51 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 608.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 422.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 369.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 57c | 299.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 208$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 191.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 134$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Under | 44c | 127.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 104.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 43c | 69.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 59c | 40.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 42c | 36.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 42c | 31.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 44c | 29.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 44c | 28.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Under | 44c | 24.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.