CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93bde4177d7be74131537c5eabe248b25563ddbcf2d1f81323fbf80a13bed4f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alpha Dominion Nationof Alpha Dominion Nation, Alpha Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 80c | 4,697$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Alpha Gaming | 30c | 2,697$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alpha Gaming | 22c | 965.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Alpha Gaming | 34c | 899.54$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.71 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 76c | 642.23$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 629.72$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 439.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Gaming | 21c | 435.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alpha Gaming | 65c | 402$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Alpha Gaming | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Alpha Gaming | 40c | 308$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Alpha Gaming | 45c | 285.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alpha Gaming | 18c | 271.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 269.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 253.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 68c | 232.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 228.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 59c | 208.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Alpha Gaming | 34c | 208.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Gaming | 20c | 195.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Gaming | 19c | 187$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 175.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 68c | 175.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Gaming | 22c | 170.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Alpha Gaming | 33c | 169.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Alpha Gaming | 41c | 166.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 64c | 163.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Alpha Gaming | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 129.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alpha Gaming | 20c | 128.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Alpha Gaming | 25c | 114.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Gaming | 27c | 111.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 96.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Alpha Gaming | 62c | 81.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…1853backed Alpha Gaming | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alpha Gaming | 27c | 65.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…7f31backed Alpha Gaming | 42c | 55.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…255bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 50.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…4dd0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alpha Gaming | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 69c | 46.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 36c | 41.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed Alpha Gaming | 42c | 38.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Alpha Gaming | 40c | 35.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 62c | 25.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Alpha Gaming | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group CAlpha Dominion Nation won
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAlpha Dominion Nation won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ADN (-1.5) vs Alpha Gaming (+1.5)Alpha Dominion Nation won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.