South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Unión end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c0c3c19049ae08bbcd1b4c1573da0c33aafcf525edb5c542858f715d5428aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,045 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 6,203$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.31 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 5,970$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.76 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 3,946$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.62 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 2,246$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,039$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 74c | 1,176$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.63 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 77c | 1,032$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 78c | 757.01$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 747.19$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 486.41$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 29c | 412$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 28c | 359.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 10c | 312$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 205.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 128.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 120.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 109.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 67.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 33c | 60.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 39c | 37.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 36.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Unión end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.