South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380396cf1b60b4bbc8c183506bd20bf280c29c42eb3565d6987aeb22fde8927b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 70c | 6,643$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.53 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 30c | 5,666$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.09 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 3,585$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 34c | 1,800$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 16c | 881.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.24 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 67c | 845.6$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.23 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 796.48$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 762.7$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 639$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 30c | 590$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 474.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 410$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 351.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 297.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 31c | 296.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 242.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 175.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 69c | 163.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 156.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 152.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 137.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 70c | 136$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed No | 70c | 136$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 31c | 135.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 20c | 134$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 70c | 132$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 23c | 116.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 110.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 75c | 86.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 83.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 77.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed Yes | 56c | 64.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 31c | 47.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 70c | 47.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes | 25c | 47.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 75c | 47.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 23c | 45.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 35c | 40.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…a32ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 70c | 21.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked No | 69c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 74c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.