Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cbf148d7b552ca48fd2ab6a32703f15ab3349dad5a36f979c059f53885beed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 82,780$37,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,793.62 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 27,719$14,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,736.4 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 24,915$11,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,246.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 6,413$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.02 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 4,150$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 53c | 3,057$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.06 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 2,107$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.91 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 47c | 1,820$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.18 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,704$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 1,668$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 831.55$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.32 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 46c | 801.13$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.61 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 46c | 709.71$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 54c | 534.25$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.37 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 470$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 408.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 309.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 304$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 243.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 183.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 46c | 85.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 55c | 23.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland TerrapinsPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-13.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-14.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-15.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.