Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e3836f5b7bf0e23e47569394bc7fe6e83d4226e7807b7f82fa3dbed80d780d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Van Der Meerschenof Lorenzo Gagliardo, Martin Van Der Meerschen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 42c | 753.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 58c | 693.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 47c | 357.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 56c | 357.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 29c | 275.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 12c | 240.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 45c | 186.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…5ff4backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 45c | 161.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 41c | 158.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 55c | 134.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 42c | 121.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 29c | 52.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Gagliardo | 59c | 45.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…59b7backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 53c | 41.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd101…d32bbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Lorenzo Gagliardo | 71c | 26.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…af7bbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.