CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs illwill (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x944ba62e72002bf3c4995fc2efef933c5ffe304ff166e28d799b46420a41b5cc

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Metizportof Metizport, illwill
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked illwill	63c	3,521$2,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,233.24	844	54.3%458 W · 386 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Metizport	37c	2,156$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.53	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Metizport	38c	2,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,239.99	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Metizport	36c	1,500$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	750	56.8%426 W · 324 L	+47.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked illwill	62c	686.99$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.92	253	37.9%96 W · 157 L	-14.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Metizport	37c	666.06$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.62	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Metizport	39c	490.77$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.92	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed illwill	62c	400$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed illwill	65c	400$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	392	45.9%180 W · 212 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked illwill	63c	397.26$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked illwill	63c	315.25$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.7	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed illwill	32c	304.93$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.03	921	52.6%484 W · 437 L	+16.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked illwill	63c	280$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.4	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport	56c	276.77$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.05	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked illwill	40c	266.83$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.81	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Metizport	53c	252$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.62	362	53.3%193 W · 169 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed illwill	8c	231.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.08	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75b…50b0backed Metizport	67c	223.35$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.17	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill	64c	215.69$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.56	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked illwill	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	180	63.9%115 W · 65 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed illwill	25c	199.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	697	32%223 W · 474 L	-46.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed illwill	62c	196.13$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.6	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed illwill	63c	179.94$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked illwill	62c	154.01$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.49	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport	61c	153.77$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.68	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…9744backed Metizport	39c	152$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.72	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+78.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Metizport	37c	150$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	540	32.4%175 W · 365 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed illwill	62c	141.94$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-6.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-39%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10ef…bff0backed illwill	63c	141.27$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x979b…53bbbacked illwill	63c	125.6$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Metizport	77c	123.79$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.63	79	58.2%46 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Metizport	37c	120$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.6	956	42.6%407 W · 549 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Metizport	38c	111.1$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.53	187	51.3%96 W · 91 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Metizport	37c	99.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5594…4a5fbacked Metizport	61c	98.63$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Metizport	68c	97.22$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Metizport	35c	94.09$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.16	432	39.1%169 W · 263 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Metizport	37c	80.34$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.24	872	44.8%391 W · 481 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked illwill	63c	80$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Metizport	37c	79.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.47	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Metizport	37c	79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	543	48.6%264 W · 279 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed illwill	62c	78.49$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	456	39.3%179 W · 277 L	-29.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Metizport	35c	75.56$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.11	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed Metizport	62c	74.44$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.04	86	64%55 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed illwill	62c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	452	44.5%201 W · 251 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Metizport	36c	67.52$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.21	166	53%88 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed illwill	16c	67.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Metizport	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc6…3c9ebacked illwill	63c	56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed illwill	46c	54.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	807	44.6%360 W · 447 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill	38c	42.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed illwill	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f50…e59ebacked illwill	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	117	58.1%68 W · 49 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked illwill	62c	36.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked illwill	34c	34.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	459	56.9%261 W · 198 L	+20.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd3…0b59backed illwill	61c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed illwill	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked illwill	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked illwill	63c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed illwill	63c	28.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Metizport	61c	27.55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Metizport	49c	26.92$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0611…0928backed illwill	62c	25.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked illwill	62c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed illwill	63c	22.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed illwill	64c	22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed Metizport	70c	21.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.53	237	51.5%122 W · 115 L	-14.7wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked illwill	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked illwill	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	323	51.4%166 W · 157 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked illwill	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587c…04f2backed illwill	61c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs illwill (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs illwill - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Metizport vs illwill (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event