Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Basavareddy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94548644acdad08ab11373971194e647c8cbcb520d9ee2beba5bd23719a2ce9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Tien, Basavareddy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basavareddy | 45c | 1,305$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.8 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Tien | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.9 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Tien | 56c | 752.3$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basavareddy | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Tien | 52c | 567.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Basavareddy | 44c | 503.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Basavareddy | 48c | 400.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Tien | 57c | 240.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Tien | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tien | 56c | 188.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Basavareddy | 48c | 165.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Basavareddy | 48c | 126$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Basavareddy | 44c | 103.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Tien | 56c | 87.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Tien | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Basavareddy | 42c | 84.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Basavareddy | 44c | 82.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basavareddy | 44c | 81.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Tien | 55c | 63.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Tien | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Basavareddy | 49c | 56.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Basavareddy | 45c | 55.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Tien | 57c | 54.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Tien | 57c | 54.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Basavareddy | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Basavareddy | 49c | 51.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Tien | 56c | 49.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Basavareddy | 49c | 45.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Basavareddy | 49c | 43.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Tien | 51c | 43.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Tien | 51c | 37.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Tien | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Tien | 66c | 24.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3206…b10bbacked Tien | 56c | 24.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Basavareddy (+1.5)this page
- Learner Tien vs. Nishesh Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs BasavareddyTien won
- Tien vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh BasavareddyLearner Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.