Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Basavareddy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34920b56e4c0a941d8e1e3ca8690ffd5d3d667c1eb2595560f760e43429dede6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Basavareddy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Basavareddy | 36c | 5,998$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.43 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Tien | 64c | 5,056$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.19 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tien | 71c | 323.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Tien | 64c | 226.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tien | 68c | 201.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Tien | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Basavareddy | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basavareddy | 29c | 97.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basavareddy | 28c | 97.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Tien | 64c | 68.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Tien | 64c | 54.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Basavareddy | 34c | 48.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Basavareddy | 31c | 45.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Tien | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Tien | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Basavareddy | 31c | 34.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tien | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tien | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Tien | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tien | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Basavareddythis page
- Learner Tien vs. Nishesh Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Basavareddy (+1.5)Basavareddy won
- Tien vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh BasavareddyLearner Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.