Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949cac3ee06732ab195786408d59b60d13a55a576a7eadf2072b9897b4325fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof Olimpia Milano, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked BC Dubai | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Olimpia Milano | 26c | 1,696$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 1,484$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.41 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed BC Dubai | 45c | 1,280$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 14c | 1,152$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BC Dubai | 59c | 936.9$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 774.38$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.15 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Olimpia Milano | 56c | 568$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC Dubai | 42c | 358.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Olimpia Milano | 63c | 287.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano | 52c | 163.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked BC Dubai | 62c | 124$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed BC Dubai | 61c | 118$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked BC Dubai | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BC Dubai | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked BC Dubai | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 99.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Olimpia Milano | 44c | 97.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked BC Dubai | 43c | 93.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 90.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 84.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 83.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked BC Dubai | 59c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Olimpia Milano | 22c | 78.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olimpia Milano | 19c | 78.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 29c | 73.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC Dubai | 56c | 47.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BC Dubai | 77c | 45.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Olimpia Milano | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Olimpia Milano | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 34.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed BC Dubai | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…9f39backed BC Dubai | 46c | 22.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked BC Dubai | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…1f3bbacked Olimpia Milano | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e80fbacked Olimpia Milano | 56c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.