Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963159c84189dccf696ab7d44ef0d98372bf2a982f5e56cba49934b7bb21e16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,876$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 1,443$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 51c | 800.75$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 49c | 498.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.31 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 386.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 51c | 296.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 275.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 183.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 179.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 50c | 117.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 112.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 51c | 83.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 82.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 54c | 64.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 57.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 34c | 35.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…148fbacked Over | 56c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 141.5this page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black KnightsBucknell Bison won
- Spread: Army Black Knights (-2.5)Bucknell Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.