CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963c561e4c2f15b3923309cca47a09231b318ac72d040bb1daa01959bc71bea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof UNiTY esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ASTRAL | 60c | 4,047$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked UNiTY esports | 48c | 2,008$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.52 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked UNiTY esports | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.92 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 1,245$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked UNiTY esports | 23c | 1,238$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed UNiTY esports | 2c | 1,234$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed UNiTY esports | 21c | 926.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 70c | 493.61$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ASTRAL | 55c | 329$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL | 61c | 234.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 49c | 231.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed UNiTY esports | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked ASTRAL | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed ASTRAL | 40c | 164.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 53c | 163.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed ASTRAL | 57c | 162.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ASTRAL | 50c | 160.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed ASTRAL | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked ASTRAL | 50c | 106.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ASTRAL | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 77.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 69.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 36.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports | 54c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed ASTRAL | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed UNiTY esports | 68c | 18.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs UNiTY esports (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.