CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4b131b4bec007bab28503cf773e27736bca16c25780b04dbb57b7caf5ae037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof UNiTY esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed UNiTY esports | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed UNiTY esports | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…895bbacked UNiTY esports | 22c | 1,051$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed UNiTY esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed UNiTY esports | 24c | 532.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked UNiTY esports | 51c | 491.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked UNiTY esports | 23c | 477.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ASTRAL | 49c | 460$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 74c | 412.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 55c | 407$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed ASTRAL | 77c | 352.91$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports | 25c | 101.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UNiTY esports | 30c | 101.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked ASTRAL | 52c | 100.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 58c | 88.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 80.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ASTRAL | 78c | 65.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed ASTRAL | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed ASTRAL | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…be5dbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ASTRAL | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed ASTRAL | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed UNiTY esports | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed ASTRAL | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs UNiTY esports (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.