Tennis · resolved market
Contrexeville: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9671e5547d3a123df0472c25402eaf0a6ebd80396ca10e0385e2fa4b17829874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mayar Sherifof Alicia Herrero Linana, Mayar Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 7c | 24,426$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.29 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 14c | 15,774$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 7c | 7,151$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 14c | 3,143$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 17c | 3,004$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.22 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 13c | 1,379$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 14c | 1,303$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 14c | 484.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 16c | 425.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 17c | 327.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 16c | 310.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 20c | 159.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc90…6c55backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 22c | 116.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Mayar Sherif | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.