CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96969a5371d57ff482b52a466ccd0f602c0f18286e917d1227435772216fd15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 1,945$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.55 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 73c | 1,297$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED | 77c | 1,050$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 1,048$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ARCRED | 76c | 783.08$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 417.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 398.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ARCRED | 73c | 345.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ARCRED | 76c | 248.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED | 73c | 215.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 14c | 169.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 157.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 90.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 86.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked MOUZ NXT | 14c | 82.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed MOUZ NXT | 14c | 76.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed ARCRED | 67c | 73.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed ARCRED | 72c | 56.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked MOUZ NXT | 26c | 41.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 37.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.