CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x969be1290819373f287d0f5341db489bb7ba6a6d9532133fc644c13f62c2b95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raccoonsof RoundsGG, Raccoons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked RoundsGG | 13c | 806$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RoundsGG | 21c | 642.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed RoundsGG | 16c | 596.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…a47fbacked RoundsGG | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed RoundsGG | 11c | 382$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed RoundsGG | 14c | 275.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked RoundsGG | 13c | 239.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed RoundsGG | 10c | 238.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked RoundsGG | 16c | 232.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed RoundsGG | 13c | 219$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed RoundsGG | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Raccoons | 80c | 194.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Raccoons | 76c | 185.19$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed RoundsGG | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed RoundsGG | 12c | 177.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked RoundsGG | 16c | 171.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked RoundsGG | 11c | 171$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed RoundsGG | 13c | 161$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked RoundsGG | 11c | 160.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RoundsGG | 14c | 136.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked RoundsGG | 11c | 129.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed RoundsGG | 13c | 93.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RoundsGG | 16c | 88.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…9b8fbacked RoundsGG | 14c | 81.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RoundsGG | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Raccoons | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…bd7fbacked Raccoons | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Raccoons | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Raccoons | 76c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 1 WinnerRaccoons won
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 2 WinnerRaccoons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.