CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad363ef4a1176487de1048132c3f7d3bde66c690a576fed797af7f99284865ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raccoonsof RoundsGG, Raccoons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Raccoons | 54c | 2,269$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.65 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RoundsGG | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RoundsGG | 41c | 1,059$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.29 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Raccoons | 61c | 947.75$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RoundsGG | 46c | 504.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked RoundsGG | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Raccoons | 66c | 226.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RoundsGG | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Raccoons | 80c | 131.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RoundsGG | 36c | 96.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked RoundsGG | 20c | 48.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Raccoons | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked RoundsGG | 45c | 28.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked RoundsGG | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group ARaccoons won
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 2 WinnerRaccoons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.