Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a21e72dca288a5f25dec1e4837a17fbe099eb9e08e53c115d540ee51df4ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 63c | 2,390$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.39 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,567$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 1,296$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.77 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,097$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 859.66$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.65 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 37c | 248.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 244.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 37c | 230.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 43c | 230$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 216.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 192.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 190.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 175.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 172.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 55c | 172.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 156.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 136.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 37c | 90.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 75.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 60c | 75.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 60c | 61.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 59.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 58.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 67c | 49.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 53c | 41.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 37c | 36.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 37c | 36.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 49c | 36.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 37c | 33.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 37c | 33.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 36c | 32.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 37c | 28.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 37c | 28.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed Under | 39c | 26.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 17.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: O/U 2.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-1.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.